Quevilly vs Bastia: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Diochon, Le Petit-Quevilly
The Footlab AI model makes Bastia the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Quevilly. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bastia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quevilly vs Bastia?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Quevilly (1,751) and Bastia (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Quevilly vs Bastia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Quevilly
3-5-2- 20G. Capuano
- 11D. Seck
- 19Y. Gazzaoui
- 7S. Come Ruiz
- 17Djibril Sarr
- 29R. Silva
- 4R. Padovani
- 26V. Theresin
- 18M. Hamdi
- 28S. Mopila
- 16M. Silistrie
Bastia
4-2-3-1- 12L. Belal
- 17J. Eickmayer
- 4A. Roncaglia
- 22I. Monnier
- 3H. Makalou
- 9F. Tomi
- 35N. Douce
- 2N. Zilliox
- 20G. Akueson
- 34D. Djedje
- 1T. De Percin
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quevilly have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bastia have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Quevilly win, 2 draws, 3 Bastia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Quevilly 0-1 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Bastia 0-0 Quevilly | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Bastia 0-1 Quevilly | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Quevilly 1-1 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Bastia 3-0 Quevilly | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 18, 2021 | Quevilly 1-2 Bastia | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Quevilly score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bastia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quevilly | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bastia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quevilly sit 13th in Ligue 3 (10 points from 9 matches) and Bastia sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Quevilly vs Bastia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quevilly vs Bastia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bastia the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Quevilly.
- Where and when is Quevilly vs Bastia played?
- Quevilly vs Bastia is played on April 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Diochon, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.