Caen vs Le Puy Foot: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Le Puy Foot. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caen wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caen vs Le Puy Foot?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Caen (1,842) and Le Puy Foot (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caen vs Le Puy Foot
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Le Puy Foot
3-5-2- 17P. Nsingi
- 9M. Faty
- 10R. Xhemo
- 7S. Kouassi
- 18A. Gauthier
- 13A. Fatahine
- 8R. Mroivili
- 2Vinicius
- 3E. Seidou
- 5M. Dembélé
- 1Matis Carvalho
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Le Puy Foot have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caen win, 0 draws, 1 Le Puy Foot win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Le Puy Foot 1-0 Caen | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Caen 2-0 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Le Puy Foot score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Le Puy Foot | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caen sit 4th in Ligue 3 (18 points from 10 matches) and Le Puy Foot sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 18 |
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 16 |
A question about Caen vs Le Puy Foot?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caen vs Le Puy Foot?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Le Puy Foot.
- Where and when is Caen vs Le Puy Foot played?
- Caen vs Le Puy Foot is played on April 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.