Match

Bournemouth vs Manchester City: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset

BournemouthManchester City

The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bournemouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Manchester City?

Manchester City starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,350 vs 2,236).

35%27%38%
Bournemouth winDrawManchester City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bournemouth vs Manchester City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Evanilson
  1. 10R. Christie
  2. 16M. Tavernier
  3. 12T. Adams
  4. 37Rayan
  5. 4L. Cook
  1. 5J. Hill
  2. 15A. Smith
  3. 14António Silva
  4. 3A. Truffert
  1. 1Đ. Petrović

Manchester City

4-2-3-1
  1. 9E. Haaland
  1. 7I. Ndiaye
  2. 17E. Fernández
  3. 5E. Anderson
  4. 11J. Doku
  5. 10R. Cherki
  1. 45A. Khusanov
  2. 3Rúben Dias
  3. 27Matheus Nunes
  4. 6M. Guéhi
  1. 1G. Donnarumma

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bournemouth have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Manchester City have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bournemouth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Sparta Praha(away)3-1UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026Leeds(home)2-0Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Aston Villa(home)3-0League Cup
Oct 25, 2026Manchester United(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 22, 2026AC Milan(home)3-0UEFA Europa League
Manchester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026RB Leipzig(away)3-2UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026Brighton(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Brighton(home)2-2League Cup
Oct 24, 2026Aston Villa(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 20, 2026AEK Athens FC(home)5-1UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bournemouth win, 1 draw, 4 Manchester City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Manchester City 2-1 BournemouthPremier League
May 19, 2026Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester CityPremier League
Nov 2, 2025Manchester City 3-1 BournemouthPremier League
May 20, 2025Manchester City 3-1 BournemouthPremier League
Mar 30, 2025Bournemouth 1-2 Manchester CityFA Cup
Nov 2, 2024Bournemouth 2-1 Manchester CityPremier League

Last archived meeting: Manchester City vs Bournemouth on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bournemouth score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bournemouth2.11.077/1511/15
Manchester City2.61.359/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bournemouth sit 8th in Premier League (12 points from 9 matches) and Manchester City sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Manchester City9702201021
8Bournemouth9333141312

A question about Bournemouth vs Manchester City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester City the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Bournemouth.
Where and when is Bournemouth vs Manchester City played?
Bournemouth vs Manchester City is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vitality Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bournemouth and Manchester City

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