Bra vs Derthona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Attilio Bravi, Bra
The Footlab model makes Bra the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Derthona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bra vs Derthona?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Bra (1,740) and Derthona (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bra have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Derthona have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Torres(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Torres(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gozzano(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Imperia(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derthona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Bra 2-0 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Derthona 0-4 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Bra 1-2 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Derthona 0-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Bra 2-1 Derthona | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Derthona 0-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bra score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derthona score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bra | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Derthona | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Derthona | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bra vs Derthona?
- The Footlab model makes Bra the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Derthona.
- Where and when is Bra vs Derthona played?
- Bra vs Derthona is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Attilio Bravi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.