Valenzana vs Ligorna: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale
The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Valenzana. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valenzana vs Ligorna?
Ligorna starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,682).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valenzana vs Ligorna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valenzana
Not enough data to predict the Valenzana lineup.
Ligorna
Not enough data to predict the Ligorna lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valenzana have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ligorna have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fezzanese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bra(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gozzano(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Valenzana win, 0 draws, 1 Ligorna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Valenzana 1-0 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Ligorna 2-0 Valenzana | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Valenzana score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ligorna score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valenzana | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Ligorna | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valenzana sit 17th in Serie D - Girone A (5 points from 7 matches) and Ligorna sit 5th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ligorna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Valenzana vs Ligorna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valenzana vs Ligorna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Valenzana.
- Where and when is Valenzana vs Ligorna played?
- Valenzana vs Ligorna is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.