Bradford vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)University of Bradford Stadium, Bradford, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bradford vs Barnsley?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Bradford (1,882) and Barnsley (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bradford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Barnsley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Preston(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bradford win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Barnsley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Barnsley 2-2 Bradford | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bradford 2-2 Barnsley | League One |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Bradford 5-1 Barnsley | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Barnsley 3-0 Bradford | League One |
| Nov 13, 2018 | Barnsley 2-1 Bradford | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Bradford 0-2 Barnsley | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bradford sit 1st in League One (6 points from 2 matches) and Barnsley sit 21st (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bradford vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Bradford vs Barnsley played?
- Bradford vs Barnsley is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at University of Bradford Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.