Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Abbey Stadium, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire
The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Cambridge United starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambridge United have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | QPR(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cambridge United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AFC Wimbledon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Cambridge United | League One |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Cambridge United 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Cambridge United 1-4 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Aug 18, 2015 | AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Feb 24, 2015 | Cambridge United 0-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2014 | AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Cambridge United | League Two |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Cambridge United on Mar 26, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambridge United sit 4th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 23rd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Abbey Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.