Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Mansfield Town (1,830) and Leyton Orient (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mansfield Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Leyton Orient 0-0 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Mansfield Town 4-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Mansfield Town 2-3 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Leyton Orient 3-0 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Mansfield Town 1-2 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Leyton Orient 1-0 Mansfield Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 11th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient played?
- Mansfield Town vs Leyton Orient is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.