Bragança vs Chaves II: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A · Matchday 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Bragança, Bragança
The Footlab AI model makes Bragança the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Chaves II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bragança wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,538 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bragança vs Chaves II?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Bragança (1,937) and Chaves II (1,866).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bragança vs Chaves II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bragança
Not enough data to predict the Bragança lineup.
Chaves II
Not enough data to predict the Chaves II lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 10:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bragança have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chaves II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montalegre(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bragança(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brito(away) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bragança win, 3 draws, 0 Chaves II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Chaves II 0-1 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Chaves II 1-1 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Bragança 1-1 Chaves II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Chaves II 0-0 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bragança score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragança | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chaves II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bragança sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (13 points from 7 matches) and Chaves II sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bragança | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Chaves II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
A question about Bragança vs Chaves II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bragança vs Chaves II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bragança the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Chaves II.
- Where and when is Bragança vs Chaves II played?
- Bragança vs Chaves II is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Bragança, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.