Brazil vs Paraguay: result 1-1 and analysis
Copa AmericaQuarter-finalsKick-off on June 27, 2015 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Brazil vs Paraguay?
Brazil and Paraguay drew 1-1 on June 27, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 15′RobinhoBrazil
- 72′D. GonzálezParaguay (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brazil have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Paraguay have 2, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2015 | Venezuela(home) | 2-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 18, 2015 | Colombia(home) | 0-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 14, 2015 | Peru(home) | 2-1 | Copa America |
| Jul 12, 2014 | Netherlands(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jul 8, 2014 | Germany(home) | 1-7 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2015 | Uruguay(away) | 1-1 | Copa America |
| Jun 16, 2015 | Jamaica(home) | 1-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 13, 2015 | Argentina(away) | 2-2 | Copa America |
| Jul 3, 2010 | Spain(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 29, 2010 | Japan(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Brazil score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Paraguay score 0.9 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Paraguay | 0.9 | 0.6 | 4 | 3/8 | 1/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brazil sit 2nd in Copa America (5 points from 3 matches) and Paraguay sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy