Brea vs Ejea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, Brea de Aragón
The Footlab AI model makes Ejea the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Brea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ejea wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brea vs Ejea?
Ejea starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brea vs Ejea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brea
4-3-3- MMarzal Garcia
- JJorge Espinal
- HHugo Gracia
- PPablo AgustÃn
- SSamuel Cardo
- MM. Slavov
- AAlejandro Conte
- 12Christian Yus
- DDaniel Porroche
- YYeray Jaraba
- TTatu
Ejea
Not enough data to predict the Ejea lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brea have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ejea have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Sietamo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(home) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Andorra CF(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CD Sietamo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Illueca(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belchite 97(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Brea win, 1 draw, 0 Ejea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | Ejea 1-1 Brea | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Brea 3-2 Ejea | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Brea score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ejea score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brea | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ejea | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brea sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (14 points from 6 matches) and Ejea sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ejea | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Brea | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
A question about Brea vs Ejea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brea vs Ejea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ejea the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Brea.
- Where and when is Brea vs Ejea played?
- Brea vs Ejea is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.