Břeclav vs Bzenec: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie EDivision E - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lesní ulice, Břeclav
The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Břeclav. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Břeclav vs Bzenec?
Bzenec starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Břeclav have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bzenec have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kroměříž II(away) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Šternberk(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kroměříž II(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hodonín(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 1-5 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Břeclav(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Břeclav win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bzenec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bzenec 1-0 Břeclav | Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Bzenec 7-2 Břeclav | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Břeclav 3-0 Bzenec | 4. liga - Divizie E |
How many goals should we expect?
Břeclav score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bzenec score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Břeclav | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bzenec | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Břeclav sit 7th in 4. liga - Divizie E (4 points from 2 matches) and Bzenec sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Břeclav | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 16 | Bzenec | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Břeclav vs Bzenec?
- The Footlab model makes Bzenec the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Břeclav.
- Where and when is Břeclav vs Bzenec played?
- Břeclav vs Bzenec is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lesní ulice, in the 4. liga - Divizie E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.