Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
The Footlab model makes Breidablik the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Fram Reykjavik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Breidablik (1,824) and Fram Reykjavik (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Breidablik have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fram Reykjavik have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(away) | 3-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 1-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(away) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(home) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 20, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(away) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 3-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 10, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(home) | 2-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 1, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(away) | 2-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(home) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 3-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Breidablik win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fram Reykjavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik 4-3 Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Breidablik 3-1 Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Breidablik 1-1 Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Fram Reykjavik 4-2 Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Breidablik 1-3 Fram Reykjavik | League Cup |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Breidablik 3-1 Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Breidablik score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fram Reykjavik score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Fram Reykjavik | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Breidablik sit 4th in Úrvalsdeild (15 points from 9 matches) and Fram Reykjavik sit 3rd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 34 | 37 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 33 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?
- The Footlab model makes Breidablik the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Fram Reykjavik.
- Where and when is Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik played?
- Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik is played on August 24, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Kópavogsvöllur, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.