Bremer SV vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 33Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion am Panzenberg, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Bremer SV the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bremer SV vs St. Pauli II?
Bremer SV starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bremer SV have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Verl(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bremer SV win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 St. Pauli II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | St. Pauli II 0-1 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 6, 2026 | St. Pauli II 1-1 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Bremer SV 1-0 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 18, 2025 | Bremer SV 2-0 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 3, 2024 | St. Pauli II 1-1 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 5, 2024 | St. Pauli II 1-2 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Bremer SV on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bremer SV score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bremer SV | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bremer SV sit 12th in Regionalliga - Nord (4 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bremer SV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bremer SV vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab model makes Bremer SV the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is Bremer SV vs St. Pauli II played?
- Bremer SV vs St. Pauli II is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Panzenberg, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsPhönix Lübeck
- May 8, 2027VfB LübeckvsKickers Emden
- May 8, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsVfB Oldenburg
- May 8, 2027Atlas DelmenhorstvsWeiche Flensburg
- May 8, 2027HSC HannovervsEimsbütteler TV
- May 8, 2027Hamburger SV IIvsSSV Jeddeloh
- May 8, 2027TodesfeldevsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- May 8, 2027SchöningenvsHannover 96 II