VfB Lübeck vs Kickers Emden: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 33Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Kickers Emden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Kickers Emden?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,902) and Kickers Emden (1,913).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kickers Emden have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfB Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kickers Emden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Kickers Emden 1-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 24, 2025 | VfB Lübeck 2-2 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Kickers Emden 1-3 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2024 | VfB Lübeck 3-1 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Kickers Emden 0-6 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 5, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 3-0 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Kickers Emden vs VfB Lübeck on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and Kickers Emden sit 13th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Kickers Emden?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Kickers Emden.
- Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Kickers Emden played?
- VfB Lübeck vs Kickers Emden is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsPhönix Lübeck
- May 8, 2027Bremer SVvsSt. Pauli II
- May 8, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsVfB Oldenburg
- May 8, 2027Atlas DelmenhorstvsWeiche Flensburg
- May 8, 2027HSC HannovervsEimsbütteler TV
- May 8, 2027Hamburger SV IIvsSSV Jeddeloh
- May 8, 2027TodesfeldevsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- May 8, 2027SchöningenvsHannover 96 II