Where and when is Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 played?

Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing, West Sussex

Brighton U21

AFC Bournemouth U21

The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for AFC Bournemouth U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Brighton U21 (1,888) and AFC Bournemouth U21 (1,843).

Brighton U21 win50 %

Draw22 %

AFC Bournemouth U21 win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton U21 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brighton U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Aston Villa U21(away)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Northampton(away)	3-0	EFL Trophy
Aug 14, 2026	Millwall U21(home)	2-0	Premier League Cup
Jul 28, 2026	Worthing(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Manchester United U21(home)	1-0	Premier League 2 Division One

AFC Bournemouth U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chelsea U21(home)	2-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026	Cardiff City U21(away)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Jul 10, 2026	Worthing(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2026	Huddersfield Town U21(away)	1-4	Professional Development League
Apr 24, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-0	Professional Development League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Brighton U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AFC Bournemouth U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 26, 2022	AFC Bournemouth U21 0-2 Brighton U21	Premier League Cup
Aug 17, 2022	Brighton U21 0-3 AFC Bournemouth U21	Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Brighton U21 on Nov 26, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Brighton U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Brighton U21	2.2	1.0	7	8/15	11/15
AFC Bournemouth U21	2.3	2.2	3	11/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brighton U21 sit 25th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 10th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	AFC Bournemouth U21	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
25	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?: The Footlab model makes Brighton U21 the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for AFC Bournemouth U21.
Where and when is Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 played?: Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at American Express Elite Football Performance Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.