Brighton vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on February 16, 2019 at 12:30 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Brighton vs Derby?
Brighton won 2-1 on February 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 33′A. KnockaertBrighton
- 45′J. LocadiaBrighton
- 81′A. ColeDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | Burnley(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2019 | West Brom(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Watford(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 29, 2019 | Fulham(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2019 | West Brom(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2019 | Ipswich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2019 | Preston(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brighton win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2017 | Brighton 3-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Derby 0-0 Brighton | Championship |
| May 2, 2016 | Brighton 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Brighton | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2015 | Brighton 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2014 | Derby 3-0 Brighton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy