Brighton vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipPromotion Play-offs - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 8, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Brighton vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on May 8, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 18′J. LingardBrighton
- 29′C. MartinDerby (pen.)
- 45′Tomasz KuszczakDerby (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2014 | Yeovil Town(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Blackpool(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Charlton(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Watford(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Barnsley(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Brighton win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | Derby 1-0 Brighton | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2013 | Brighton 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Brighton 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Derby 0-0 Brighton | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2012 | Brighton 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Derby 0-1 Brighton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy