Derby vs Brighton: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 18, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Brighton?
Derby won 1-0 on January 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 76′P. BamfordDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Brighton have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2014 | Leicester(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2014 | Chelsea(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2014 | Wigan(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Barnsley(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | Birmingham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 4, 2014 | Reading(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2014 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Blackpool(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Charlton(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Brighton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2013 | Brighton 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Brighton 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Derby 0-0 Brighton | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2012 | Brighton 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Derby 0-1 Brighton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Brighton | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy