Brighton vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 12, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Brighton vs Derby?
Brighton won 2-1 on January 12, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 2′A. BarnesBrighton
- 25′Andrea Orlandi StabilinBrighton
- 69′J. HendrickDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2013 | Newcastle(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Ipswich(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Watford(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 18, 2012 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2013 | Tranmere(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Middlesbrough(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2012 | Burnley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2012 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Brighton win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Derby 0-0 Brighton | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2012 | Brighton 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Derby 0-1 Brighton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy