Brighton vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Brighton the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton vs Fulham?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Brighton (2,200) and Fulham (2,124).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Fulham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tromso(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farense(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brighton win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Fulham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Fulham 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Brighton 1-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Brighton 2-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Fulham 3-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Fulham 3-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Brighton 1-1 Fulham | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Fulham | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton sit 1st in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Fulham sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Fulham?
- The Footlab model makes Brighton the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Brighton vs Fulham played?
- Brighton vs Fulham is played on March 3, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at The American Express Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.