Leeds vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leeds the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Hull City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leeds vs Hull City?
Leeds starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (2,218 vs 1,992).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leeds vs Hull City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leeds
3-4-2-1- 9D. Calvert-Lewin
- 4E. Ampadu
- 2J. Bogle
- 18A. Stach
- 19N. Okafor
- 22A. Tanaka
- 3G. Gudmundsson
- 24J. Justin
- 5T. Muharemović
- 30N. Elvedi
- 1J. Trafford
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 22L. Herrington
- 3R. Giles
- 19K. Tzolakis
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leeds have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hull City have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-6 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leeds wins, 3 draws, 0 Hull City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | Hull City 3-3 Leeds | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Leeds 2-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Leeds 3-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Hull City 0-0 Leeds | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Leeds 1-1 Hull City | League Cup |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Hull City 0-4 Leeds | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Leeds score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leeds sit 7th in Premier League (10 points from 7 matches) and Hull City sit 9th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Leeds vs Hull City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leeds vs Hull City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leeds the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Leeds vs Hull City played?
- Leeds vs Hull City is played on March 3, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Elland Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.