Match

Brighton vs Monaco: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex

BrightonMonaco

The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Monaco. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brighton vs Monaco?

Brighton starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,335 vs 2,154).

68%20%12%
Brighton winDrawMonaco win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Brighton vs Monaco

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Brighton

4-2-3-1
  1. 19C. Kostoulas
  1. 13P. Groß
  2. 25D. Gómez
  3. 29M. De Cuyper
  4. 26Y. Ayari
  5. 14José María Andrés Baixauli
  1. 21O. Boscagli
  2. 44L. Vušković
  3. 24F. Kadıoğlu
  4. 4P. Struijk
  1. 1B. Verbruggen

Monaco

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Abline
  1. 8L. Camara
  2. 6D. Zakaria
  3. 10A. Golovin
  4. 37E. Diop
  5. 7M. Detourbet
  1. 15E. Dier
  2. 72Sadibou Sané
  3. 2Vanderson
  4. 20Flávio Nazinho
  1. 1L. Hrádecký

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Monaco have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brighton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Sunderland(away)2-0Premier League
Sep 19, 2026Arsenal(home)3-0Premier League
Sep 16, 2026Manchester United(away)3-2League Cup
Sep 13, 2026Coventry(away)5-0Premier League
Sep 5, 2026Leeds(home)1-1Premier League
Monaco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Toulouse(home)2-2Ligue 1
Sep 18, 2026Lens(home)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 12, 2026Strasbourg(away)1-1Ligue 1
Sep 4, 2026Paris Saint Germain(away)2-1Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2026Marseille(home)2-0Ligue 1

How many goals should we expect?

Brighton score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brighton2.40.994/1510/15
Monaco2.11.5310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Brighton vs Monaco?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Monaco?
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Monaco.
Where and when is Brighton vs Monaco played?
Brighton vs Monaco is played on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at The American Express Community Stadium, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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