Match

SC Freiburg vs Panathinaikos: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC FreiburgPanathinaikos

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Panathinaikos. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Freiburg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Panathinaikos?

On Elo ratings, SC Freiburg has 2,216 points and Panathinaikos 2,188.

53%24%23%
SC Freiburg winDrawPanathinaikos win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs Panathinaikos

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 9L. Höler
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 14Y. Suzuki
  3. 16Y. Engelhardt
  4. 19J. Beste
  5. 32V. Grifo
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 17L. Kübler
  4. 37M. Rosenfelder
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
  1. 9C. Dessers
  1. 10Santino Andino
  2. 22E. Camara
  3. 7A. Tetteh
  4. 42K. Kangwa
  5. 26I. Louza
  1. 6S. de Vrij
  2. 77G. Kiriakopoulos
  3. 2D. Calabria
  4. 55R. van Drongelen
  1. 1Iñaki Peña

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Panathinaikos have 14, 0 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)3-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Bayern München(home)1-3Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2026Monaco(away)0-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Panathinaikos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026AEK Athens FC(home)2-0Super League 1
Oct 28, 2026Aris Thessalonikis(home)2-1Cup
Oct 25, 2026Volos NFC(away)1-0Super League 1
Oct 22, 2026Kairat Almaty(away)5-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026Asteras Tripolis(home)5-1Super League 1

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Panathinaikos score 2.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg2.71.5212/1514/15
Panathinaikos2.30.577/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 18th in UEFA Europa Conference League (3 points from 2 matches) and Panathinaikos sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Panathinaikos2200726
18SC Freiburg2101353

A question about SC Freiburg vs Panathinaikos?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Panathinaikos?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Panathinaikos.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Panathinaikos played?
SC Freiburg vs Panathinaikos is played on December 10, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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