KuPS vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Väre Areena, Kuopio
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for KuPS. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,275 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KuPS vs CSKA Sofia?
CSKA Sofia starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KuPS vs CSKA Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KuPS
4-2-3-1- 11J. Moreno
- 8P. Pennanen
- 10V. Gasc
- 16T. Jyry
- 24B. Armah
- 22S. Touray
- 25C. Antwi
- 28B. Magassa
- 23A. Lötjönen
- 6S. Savolainen
- 1J. Kreidl
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Computed on October 12, 2026 at 04:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KuPS have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | AC Oulu(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VPS(away) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gnistan(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
KuPS score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
A question about KuPS vs CSKA Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KuPS vs CSKA Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for KuPS.
- Where and when is KuPS vs CSKA Sofia played?
- KuPS vs CSKA Sofia is played on December 10, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Väre Areena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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