Brinkumer SV vs Aumund-Vegesack: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BSV-Arena, Stuhr
The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 69%, against 15% for a draw and 16% for Aumund-Vegesack. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brinkumer SV vs Aumund-Vegesack?
Brinkumer SV starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brinkumer SV have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aumund-Vegesack have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Brinkumer SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Aumund-Vegesack win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack 1-3 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Brinkumer SV 4-0 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 11, 2025 | Aumund-Vegesack 3-0 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 1-5 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 2-1 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Aumund-Vegesack 6-3 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer SV on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brinkumer SV score 3.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brinkumer SV | 3.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brinkumer SV sit 4th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brinkumer SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brinkumer SV vs Aumund-Vegesack?
- The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 69%, against 15% for a draw and 16% for Aumund-Vegesack.
- Where and when is Brinkumer SV vs Aumund-Vegesack played?
- Brinkumer SV vs Aumund-Vegesack is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BSV-Arena, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.