Brinkumer SV vs Blumenthaler SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)BSV-Arena, Stuhr
The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Brinkumer SV. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brinkumer SV vs Blumenthaler SV?
Blumenthaler SV starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brinkumer SV have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Blumenthaler SV have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Schwachhausen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Brinkumer SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Blumenthaler SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Brinkumer SV 0-3 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Blumenthaler SV 3-1 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Blumenthaler SV 1-3 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 5-1 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 1-3 Blumenthaler SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Blumenthaler SV 0-2 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Brinkumer SV vs Blumenthaler SV on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brinkumer SV score 3.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Blumenthaler SV score 3.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brinkumer SV | 3.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
| Blumenthaler SV | 3.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brinkumer SV sit 4th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Blumenthaler SV sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenthaler SV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Brinkumer SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brinkumer SV vs Blumenthaler SV?
- The Footlab model makes Blumenthaler SV the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Brinkumer SV.
- Where and when is Brinkumer SV vs Blumenthaler SV played?
- Brinkumer SV vs Blumenthaler SV is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at BSV-Arena, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.