Leher TS vs Geestemünde: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)LTS-Sportanlage 1, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Leher TS the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leher TS vs Geestemünde?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Leher TS (1,631) and Geestemünde (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leher TS have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Geestemünde have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 8, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leher TS win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Geestemünde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Geestemünde 3-5 Leher TS | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Leher TS 0-0 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Geestemünde 3-1 Leher TS | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Leher TS 3-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Geestemünde 2-2 Leher TS | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Leher TS 2-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs Leher TS on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leher TS score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leher TS | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leher TS sit 13th in Oberliga - Bremen (0 points from 3 matches) and Geestemünde sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Geestemünde | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 13 | Leher TS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leher TS vs Geestemünde?
- The Footlab model makes Leher TS the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Leher TS vs Geestemünde played?
- Leher TS vs Geestemünde is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at LTS-Sportanlage 1, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.