Oberneuland vs Vatan Sport: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Marko Mock Arena, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Oberneuland the favourite at 55%, against 18% for a draw and 27% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oberneuland vs Vatan Sport?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Oberneuland (1,696) and Vatan Sport (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oberneuland have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Vatan Sport have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Union Bremen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 8, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 5, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Oberneuland win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vatan Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Oberneuland 3-2 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Vatan Sport 2-1 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Oberneuland 5-1 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Vatan Sport 1-3 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Vatan Sport 1-3 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Oberneuland 0-3 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Oberneuland vs Vatan Sport on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oberneuland score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oberneuland | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oberneuland sit 12th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 2 matches) and Vatan Sport sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Oberneuland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oberneuland vs Vatan Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Oberneuland the favourite at 55%, against 18% for a draw and 27% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Oberneuland vs Vatan Sport played?
- Oberneuland vs Vatan Sport is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Marko Mock Arena, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.