Brinkumer SV vs Werder Bremen III: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)BSV-Arena, Stuhr
The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 75%, against 13% for a draw and 12% for Werder Bremen III. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brinkumer SV vs Werder Bremen III?
Brinkumer SV starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brinkumer SV have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Werder Bremen III have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brinkumer SV win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Werder Bremen III 2-2 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Brinkumer SV 3-5 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Werder Bremen III 2-3 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 2-2 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Werder Bremen III 1-1 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Brinkumer SV 3-0 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen III vs Brinkumer SV on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brinkumer SV score 3.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen III score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brinkumer SV | 3.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
| Werder Bremen III | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brinkumer SV sit 4th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Werder Bremen III sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brinkumer SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brinkumer SV vs Werder Bremen III?
- The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 75%, against 13% for a draw and 12% for Werder Bremen III.
- Where and when is Brinkumer SV vs Werder Bremen III played?
- Brinkumer SV vs Werder Bremen III is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at BSV-Arena, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.