Match

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

BrooklynRhode Island

The Footlab model makes Rhode Island the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Brooklyn. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brooklyn vs Rhode Island?

Rhode Island starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,651).

Brooklyn win26 %
Draw29 %
Rhode Island win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brooklyn have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Rhode Island have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brooklyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)0-1USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Las Vegas Lights(away)1-2USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026Charleston Battery(away)0-5USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026San Antonio(home)0-1USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026Sporting JAX(away)2-2USL Championship
Rhode Island
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Monterey Bay(home)3-1USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026Tampa Bay Rowdies(away)0-2USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026Colorado Springs(home)2-0USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026Birmingham Legion(away)0-1USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)1-0USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Brooklyn win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rhode Island win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 11, 2026Rhode Island 1-1 BrooklynUSL League One Cup
May 23, 2026Rhode Island 4-1 BrooklynUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Rhode Island vs Brooklyn on Jul 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brooklyn score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rhode Island score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brooklyn1.21.918/158/15
Rhode Island1.50.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brooklyn sit 11th in USL Championship (9 points from 12 matches) and Rhode Island sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Rhode Island19847302228
9Rhode Island11434211515
11Brooklyn1223713229
12Brooklyn193412183513

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brooklyn vs Rhode Island?
The Footlab model makes Rhode Island the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Brooklyn.
Where and when is Brooklyn vs Rhode Island played?
Brooklyn vs Rhode Island is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Brooklyn and Rhode Island

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