Brora Rangers vs Keith: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 12Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Dudgeon Park, Brora
The Footlab model makes Brora Rangers the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Keith. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brora Rangers vs Keith?
Brora Rangers starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,677 vs 1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brora Rangers have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Keith have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(home) | 0-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Wick Academy(home) | 8-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Brora Rangers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Keith win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Brora Rangers 1-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Keith 0-5 Brora Rangers | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Keith 0-5 Brora Rangers | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Brora Rangers 2-3 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Brora Rangers 4-1 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Keith 0-1 Brora Rangers | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Brora Rangers vs Keith on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brora Rangers score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brora Rangers | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Keith | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brora Rangers sit 1st in Football League - Highland League (75 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 97 | 35 | 75 |
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brora Rangers vs Keith?
- The Footlab model makes Brora Rangers the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Keith.
- Where and when is Brora Rangers vs Keith played?
- Brora Rangers vs Keith is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Dudgeon Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026FraserburghvsBuckie Thistle
- Sep 26, 2026ClachnacuddinvsFormartine United
- Sep 26, 2026DeveronvalevsInverurie Loco Works
- Sep 26, 2026LossiemouthvsWick Academy
- Sep 26, 2026Nairn CountyvsBanks O' Dee
- Sep 26, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsForres Mechanics
- Sep 26, 2026Turriff UnitedvsRothes
- Sep 26, 2026HuntlyvsInvergordon