Nairn County vs Keith: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn
The Footlab AI model makes Nairn County the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Keith. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nairn County wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairn County vs Keith?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Nairn County (1,460) and Keith (1,482).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nairn County vs Keith
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nairn County
Not enough data to predict the Nairn County lineup.
Keith
Not enough data to predict the Keith lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Keith have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wick Academy(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stonehaven(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 2-3 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nairn County win, 2 draws, 3 Keith wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Keith 1-1 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Keith 2-0 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Nairn County 0-2 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Keith 3-2 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Nairn County 2-0 Keith | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Keith 1-1 Nairn County | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nairn County score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Keith score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairn County | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Keith | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairn County sit 9th in Football League - Highland League (49 points from 34 matches) and Keith sit 6th (58 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
A question about Nairn County vs Keith?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Keith?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nairn County the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Keith.
- Where and when is Nairn County vs Keith played?
- Nairn County vs Keith is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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