Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 12Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Buckie Thistle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Fraserburgh (1,667) and Buckie Thistle (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Buckie Thistle have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 6-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Turriff United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brora Rangers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 7-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fraserburgh win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Buckie Thistle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Buckie Thistle 0-1 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Fraserburgh 2-2 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Fraserburgh 1-1 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 1-3 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Buckie Thistle 1-0 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Fraserburgh 1-3 Buckie Thistle | Football League - Highland League |
Last archived meeting: Buckie Thistle vs Fraserburgh on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Buckie Thistle score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Buckie Thistle | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fraserburgh sit 4th in Football League - Highland League (68 points from 34 matches) and Buckie Thistle sit 8th (53 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 47 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Buckie Thistle.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle played?
- Fraserburgh vs Buckie Thistle is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Brora RangersvsKeith
- Sep 26, 2026ClachnacuddinvsFormartine United
- Sep 26, 2026DeveronvalevsInverurie Loco Works
- Sep 26, 2026LossiemouthvsWick Academy
- Sep 26, 2026Nairn CountyvsBanks O' Dee
- Sep 26, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsForres Mechanics
- Sep 26, 2026Turriff UnitedvsRothes
- Sep 26, 2026HuntlyvsInvergordon