BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
The Footlab model makes BSC Young Boys the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for FC Lugano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate BSC Young Boys (2,039) and FC Lugano (2,047).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSC Young Boys have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; FC Lugano have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Vaduz(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Liestal(away) | 4-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lausanne(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 6-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 4-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vedeggio(away) | 10-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | NSI Runavik(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Zurich(home) | 5-0 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BSC Young Boys win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FC Lugano 1-0 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | BSC Young Boys 1-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | FC Lugano 3-0 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | BSC Young Boys 3-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| May 24, 2025 | FC Lugano 1-1 BSC Young Boys | Super League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BSC Young Boys 1-0 FC Lugano | Super League |
Last archived meeting: FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSC Young Boys score 3.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lugano score 3.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys | 3.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Lugano | 3.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSC Young Boys sit 1st in Super League (10 points from 4 matches) and FC Lugano sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BSC Young Boys | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano?
- The Footlab model makes BSC Young Boys the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for FC Lugano.
- Where and when is BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano played?
- BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Wankdorf, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.