Servette FC vs FC Thun: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Genève, Lancy
The Footlab model makes Servette FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for FC Thun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Servette FC vs FC Thun?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Servette FC (1,955) and FC Thun (1,958).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Servette FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Thun have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 7-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grasshoppers(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-7 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Saxon Sports(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Servette FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 FC Thun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Servette FC 1-3 FC Thun | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Servette FC 0-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | FC Thun 3-1 Servette FC | Super League |
| Oct 27, 2021 | FC Thun 4-1 Servette FC | Schweizer Cup |
| Jul 22, 2020 | FC Thun 5-1 Servette FC | Super League |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Servette FC 2-0 FC Thun | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Servette FC vs FC Thun on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Servette FC score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Thun score 1.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Servette FC | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Thun | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Servette FC sit 8th in Super League (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Thun sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Servette FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Servette FC vs FC Thun?
- The Footlab model makes Servette FC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for FC Thun.
- Where and when is Servette FC vs FC Thun played?
- Servette FC vs FC Thun is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Genève, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.