Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 46%, against 18% for a draw and 36% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Geestemünde (1,695) and Vatan Sport (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Vatan Sport have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Geestemünde win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Vatan Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport 3-3 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Geestemünde 2-3 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Vatan Sport 4-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Geestemünde 3-3 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Vatan Sport 0-4 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Vatan Sport 2-4 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Vatan Sport vs Geestemünde on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vatan Sport score 2.2 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Vatan Sport | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 13th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 3 matches) and Vatan Sport sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vatan Sport | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 46%, against 18% for a draw and 36% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport played?
- Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.