Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab AI model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 52%, against 18% for a draw and 30% for Vatan Sport. The most likely score is 2-2. If Geestemünde wins, the most likely score is 3-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport?
Geestemünde starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,637).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Geestemünde
Not enough data to predict the Geestemünde lineup.
Vatan Sport
Not enough data to predict the Vatan Sport lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Vatan Sport have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Geestemünde wins, 2 draws, 2 Vatan Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport 3-3 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Geestemünde 2-3 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Vatan Sport 4-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Geestemünde 3-3 Vatan Sport | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Vatan Sport 0-4 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Vatan Sport 2-4 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Vatan Sport vs Geestemünde on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vatan Sport score 2.3 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Vatan Sport | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 12th in Oberliga - Bremen (8 points from 8 matches) and Vatan Sport sit 8th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vatan Sport | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 10 |
| 12 | Geestemünde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 28 | 8 |
A question about Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 52%, against 18% for a draw and 30% for Vatan Sport.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport played?
- Geestemünde vs Vatan Sport is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.