Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vegesack, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Aumund-Vegesack the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Grohn. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Aumund-Vegesack (1,696) and Grohn (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aumund-Vegesack have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Grohn have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Aumund-Vegesack win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Grohn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn 1-0 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grohn score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Grohn | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Grohn sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Grohn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn?
- The Footlab model makes Aumund-Vegesack the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Grohn.
- Where and when is Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn played?
- Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vegesack, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.