Bucaspor 1928 vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bucaspor 1928. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Ayvalikgucu?
Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Karsiyaka(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaspor 1928 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Ayvalikgucu | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Ayvalikgucu?
- The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bucaspor 1928.
- Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Ayvalikgucu played?
- Bucaspor 1928 vs Ayvalikgucu is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.