Karsiyaka vs Denizli İYG: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Denizli İYG?
Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Denizli İYG have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Karsiyaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Denizli İYG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Denizli İYG 0-5 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Karsiyaka 2-0 Denizli İYG | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Denizli İYG vs Karsiyaka on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Denizli İYG | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Denizli İYG?
- The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Denizli İYG.
- Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Denizli İYG played?
- Karsiyaka vs Denizli İYG is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.