Match

Bucaspor 1928 vs Etimesgut SK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir

Bucaspor 1928Etimesgut SK

The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Etimesgut SK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Etimesgut SK?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Bucaspor 1928 (1,540) and Etimesgut SK (1,601).

Bucaspor 1928 win37 %
Draw28 %
Etimesgut SK win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Etimesgut SK have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaspor 1928
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)1-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)3-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Altınordu(away)0-22. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 3, 2026Ankaragücü(away)0-12. Lig
Etimesgut SK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home)1-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Kartal Bulvarspor(home)1-03. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)1-33. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bucaspor 1928 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Etimesgut SK win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 22, 2023Etimesgut SK 1-0 Bucaspor 19282. Lig
Sep 4, 2022Bucaspor 1928 2-1 Etimesgut SK2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928 on Jan 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etimesgut SK score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bucaspor 19280.92.119/157/15
Etimesgut SK1.01.077/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Etimesgut SK?
The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Etimesgut SK.
Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Etimesgut SK played?
Bucaspor 1928 vs Etimesgut SK is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bucaspor 1928 and Etimesgut SK

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