Where and when is Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928 played?

Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928 is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, Etimesgut

Etimesgut SK

Bucaspor 1928

The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bucaspor 1928. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Etimesgut SK (1,600) and Bucaspor 1928 (1,538).

Etimesgut SK win50 %

Draw26 %

Bucaspor 1928 win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etimesgut SK have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bucaspor 1928 have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Etimesgut SK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Kartal Bulvarspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)	1-3	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 1

Bucaspor 1928
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	3-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Altınordu(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 3, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	0-1	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Etimesgut SK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bucaspor 1928 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 22, 2023	Etimesgut SK 1-0 Bucaspor 1928	2. Lig
Sep 4, 2022	Bucaspor 1928 2-1 Etimesgut SK	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928 on Jan 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Etimesgut SK score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Etimesgut SK	1.0	1.0	7	7/15	5/15
Bucaspor 1928	0.9	2.1	1	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928?: The Footlab model makes Etimesgut SK the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bucaspor 1928.
Where and when is Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928 played?: Etimesgut SK vs Bucaspor 1928 is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.