Where and when is Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen played?

Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach

Buchbach

Wacker Burghausen

The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Wacker Burghausen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,870) and Wacker Burghausen (1,848).

Buchbach win41 %

Draw24 %

Wacker Burghausen win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Wacker Burghausen have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buchbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ansbach(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	Aubstadt(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Nürnberg II(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Eichstätt(home)	5-1	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Schwaben Augsburg(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Bayern

Wacker Burghausen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Nürnberg II(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026	Schwaben Augsburg(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026	Aubstadt(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026	Bayern München II(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026	Ansbach(away)	4-0	Regionalliga - Bayern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buchbach win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Wacker Burghausen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	Wacker Burghausen 0-0 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Sep 5, 2025	Buchbach 3-1 Wacker Burghausen	Regionalliga - Bayern
Mar 14, 2025	Wacker Burghausen 2-2 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Sep 7, 2024	Buchbach 1-1 Wacker Burghausen	Regionalliga - Bayern
Mar 2, 2024	Wacker Burghausen 2-0 Buchbach	Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 25, 2023	Buchbach 1-0 Wacker Burghausen	Regionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Wacker Burghausen vs Buchbach on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wacker Burghausen score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Buchbach	1.9	2.1	3	9/15	11/15
Wacker Burghausen	1.4	1.7	5	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Wacker Burghausen sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buchbach	5	3	2	0	12	4	11
9	Wacker Burghausen	5	2	1	2	10	7	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?: The Footlab model makes Buchbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Wacker Burghausen.
Where and when is Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen played?: Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.