Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach
The Footlab AI model makes Buchbach the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Wacker Burghausen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buchbach wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,914) and Wacker Burghausen (1,870).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buchbach
Not enough data to predict the Buchbach lineup.
Wacker Burghausen
Not enough data to predict the Wacker Burghausen lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Wacker Burghausen have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buchbach wins, 3 draws, 1 Wacker Burghausen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen 0-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Buchbach 3-1 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Wacker Burghausen 2-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Buchbach 1-1 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Wacker Burghausen 2-0 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Buchbach 1-0 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Wacker Burghausen vs Buchbach on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchbach score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wacker Burghausen score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Wacker Burghausen | 2.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (28 points from 13 matches) and Wacker Burghausen sit 8th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 28 |
| 8 | Wacker Burghausen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 18 |
A question about Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buchbach the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Wacker Burghausen.
- Where and when is Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen played?
- Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsAnsbach
- Oct 24, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsLandsberg
- Oct 24, 2026EichstättvsTSV 1860 München
- Oct 24, 2026Bayern München IIvsVilzing
- Oct 24, 2026Augsburg IIvsIllertissen
- Oct 24, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Oct 24, 2026Nürnberg IIvsAubstadt
- Oct 24, 2026EltersdorfvsMemmingen