Match

Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, Nürnberg

Nürnberg IIAubstadt

The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?

Nürnberg II starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,846).

Nürnberg II win56 %
Draw23 %
Aubstadt win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nürnberg II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Aubstadt have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nürnberg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Wacker Burghausen(home)3-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Eltersdorf(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Buchbach(home)0-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(home)1-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Vilzing(away)1-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aubstadt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)2-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Buchbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Wacker Burghausen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 20, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nürnberg II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Aubstadt win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2026Aubstadt 0-1 Nürnberg IIRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 20, 2025Nürnberg II 4-0 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Mar 15, 2025Nürnberg II 1-0 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 6, 2024Aubstadt 1-1 Nürnberg IIRegionalliga - Bayern
Mar 3, 2024Nürnberg II 1-1 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 25, 2023Aubstadt 2-1 Nürnberg IIRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Aubstadt vs Nürnberg II on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nürnberg II1.91.3410/158/15
Aubstadt1.71.2210/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nürnberg II sit 15th in Regionalliga - Bayern (4 points from 5 matches) and Aubstadt sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Aubstadt41211075
15Nürnberg II5113694

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?
The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Aubstadt.
Where and when is Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt played?
Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nürnberg II and Aubstadt

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