Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?
Nürnberg II starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nürnberg II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Aubstadt have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nürnberg II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Aubstadt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Aubstadt 0-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nürnberg II 4-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Nürnberg II 1-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Aubstadt 1-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Nürnberg II 1-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Aubstadt 2-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Aubstadt vs Nürnberg II on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nürnberg II sit 15th in Regionalliga - Bayern (4 points from 5 matches) and Aubstadt sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Nürnberg II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?
- The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Aubstadt.
- Where and when is Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt played?
- Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsAnsbach
- Oct 24, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsLandsberg
- Oct 24, 2026EichstättvsTSV 1860 München
- Oct 24, 2026Bayern München IIvsVilzing
- Oct 24, 2026Augsburg IIvsIllertissen
- Oct 24, 2026BuchbachvsWacker Burghausen
- Oct 24, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Oct 24, 2026EltersdorfvsMemmingen