SpVgg Unterhaching vs Ansbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Ansbach. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Unterhaching vs Ansbach?
SpVgg Unterhaching starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Unterhaching have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Ansbach have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Essingen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ansbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Ansbach 1-0 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 2, 2025 | SpVgg Unterhaching 3-0 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Ansbach 0-2 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 30, 2022 | SpVgg Unterhaching 3-1 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Ansbach vs SpVgg Unterhaching on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ansbach score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Ansbach | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 4 matches) and Ansbach sit 19th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 19 | Ansbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Unterhaching vs Ansbach?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Ansbach.
- Where and when is SpVgg Unterhaching vs Ansbach played?
- SpVgg Unterhaching vs Ansbach is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlsport Park, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsLandsberg
- Oct 24, 2026EichstättvsTSV 1860 München
- Oct 24, 2026Bayern München IIvsVilzing
- Oct 24, 2026Augsburg IIvsIllertissen
- Oct 24, 2026BuchbachvsWacker Burghausen
- Oct 24, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Oct 24, 2026Nürnberg IIvsAubstadt
- Oct 24, 2026EltersdorfvsMemmingen