HEBC vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for HEBC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HEBC vs Buchholz?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate HEBC (1,758) and Buchholz (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HEBC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Buchholz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HT16(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 HEBC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Buchholz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Buchholz 4-0 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 14, 2025 | HEBC 3-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Buchholz 0-1 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 22, 2024 | HEBC 1-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Buchholz 0-3 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 27, 2023 | HEBC 1-1 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
HEBC score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEBC | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HEBC sit 13th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Buchholz sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HEBC vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab model makes Buchholz the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for HEBC.
- Where and when is HEBC vs Buchholz played?
- HEBC vs Buchholz is played on February 21, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.