HEBC vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Buchholz the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for HEBC. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HEBC vs Buchholz?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate HEBC (1,742) and Buchholz (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HEBC vs Buchholz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HEBC
4-3-3- 15Janek Wrede
- 7Tjorven Bastian Dan Köhler
- 20P. Onnen
- 11Hammed Nawaz
- 8Piet Oldag
- 17Robert Schick
- 33Christopher Grunewald
- 24Julius Emil Stegemann
- 18Jorma Eggers
- 27Lionel Zitzewitz
- 12J. Schoon
Buchholz
Not enough data to predict the Buchholz lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HEBC have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Buchholz have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 5-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 HEBC wins, 0 draws, 3 Buchholz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Buchholz 3-2 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Buchholz 4-0 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 14, 2025 | HEBC 3-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Buchholz 0-1 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 22, 2024 | HEBC 1-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Buchholz 0-3 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
HEBC score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEBC | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HEBC sit 13th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Buchholz sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
A question about HEBC vs Buchholz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HEBC vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buchholz the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for HEBC.
- Where and when is HEBC vs Buchholz played?
- HEBC vs Buchholz is played on February 21, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.