ETSV Hamburg vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for Buchholz. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ETSV Hamburg vs Buchholz?
ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ETSV Hamburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Buchholz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ETSV Hamburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Buchholz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 6-2 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 5, 2026 | Buchholz 1-3 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 1, 2025 | ETSV Hamburg 1-3 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Buchholz 4-2 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 24, 2023 | ETSV Hamburg 1-1 Buchholz | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Buchholz 4-2 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Buchholz on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ETSV Hamburg score 3.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSV Hamburg | 3.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ETSV Hamburg sit 1st in Oberliga - Hamburg (83 points from 34 matches) and Buchholz sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ETSV Hamburg vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 76%, against 13% for a draw and 11% for Buchholz.
- Where and when is ETSV Hamburg vs Buchholz played?
- ETSV Hamburg vs Buchholz is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.