Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bozsik Aréna, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Budapest Honved the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Kisvarda FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Budapest Honved (1,756) and Kisvarda FC (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budapest Honved have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kisvarda FC have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasas(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Paks(away) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Jul 18, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 0-0 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-4 | NB I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Budapest Honved win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Kisvarda FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kisvarda FC 1-1 Budapest Honved | NB I |
| May 18, 2025 | Budapest Honved 3-0 Kisvarda FC | NB II |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Kisvarda FC 1-1 Budapest Honved | NB II |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Kisvarda FC 2-2 Budapest Honved | NB I |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Budapest Honved 1-1 Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Kisvarda FC 0-1 Budapest Honved | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Kisvarda FC vs Budapest Honved on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Budapest Honved score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kisvarda FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budapest Honved | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Kisvarda FC | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budapest Honved sit 11th in NB I (3 points from 4 matches) and Kisvarda FC sit 8th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC?
- The Footlab model makes Budapest Honved the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Kisvarda FC.
- Where and when is Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC played?
- Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bozsik Aréna, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.