Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Aréna, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Paks. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks?
Ferencvarosi TC starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (2,061 vs 1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferencvarosi TC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Paks have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ferencvarosi TC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Paks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Paks 4-2 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC 2-0 Paks | NB I |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Paks 0-1 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 Paks | NB I |
| May 14, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 Paks | Magyar Kupa |
| May 10, 2025 | Paks 2-3 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferencvarosi TC score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferencvarosi TC sit 10th in NB I (4 points from 3 matches) and Paks sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks?
- The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Paks.
- Where and when is Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks played?
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Groupama Aréna, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.