Match

Budapest Honved vs Paks: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bozsik Aréna, Budapest

Budapest HonvedPaks

The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Budapest Honved. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paks wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Budapest Honved vs Paks?

Paks starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,761).

24%24%52%
Budapest Honved winDrawPaks win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Budapest Honved vs Paks

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Budapest Honved

4-4-2
  1. 30T. Somogyi
  2. 19A. Alić
  1. 5D. Csontos
  2. 40Adam Szamosi
  3. 7A. Zuigeber
  4. 99I. Pekár
  1. 11S. Hangya
  2. 44Á. Baki
  3. 4A. Szabó
  4. 52D. Boldor
  1. 31O. Hadžikić

Paks

5-4-1
  1. 7J. Szalai
  1. 21K. Papp
  2. 10Z. Haraszti
  3. 8B. Balogh
  4. 22J. Windecker
  1. 30J. Szabó
  2. 14E. Silye
  3. 24B. Lenzsér
  4. 15C. Belényesi
  5. 5B. Vécsei
  1. 28M. Gyetván

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budapest Honved have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Paks have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Budapest Honved
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ujpest(home)1-1NB I
Sep 18, 2026Puskas Academy(away)1-3NB I
Sep 12, 2026Bajai(away)7-0Magyar Kupa
Sep 6, 2026Gyori ETO FC(away)2-3NB I
Aug 29, 2026Zalaegerszegi TE(home)1-0NB I
Paks
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026MTK Budapest(home)3-0NB I
Sep 19, 2026Kisvarda FC(away)1-0NB I
Sep 12, 2026Kazincbarcikai(away)2-1Magyar Kupa
Sep 5, 2026Debreceni VSC(home)2-4NB I
Aug 29, 2026Nyiregyhaza(away)1-1NB I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Budapest Honved wins, 3 draws, 3 Paks wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Paks 2-2 Budapest HonvedNB I
Oct 31, 2024Budapest Honved 1-5 PaksMagyar Kupa
Nov 2, 2023Budapest Honved 2-2 PaksMagyar Kupa
Apr 1, 2023Budapest Honved 1-2 PaksNB I
Nov 6, 2022Paks 5-0 Budapest HonvedNB I
Aug 14, 2022Budapest Honved 3-3 PaksNB I

Last archived meeting: Paks vs Budapest Honved on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Budapest Honved score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Budapest Honved1.71.5411/159/15
Paks2.02.1311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Budapest Honved sit 12th in NB I (7 points from 8 matches) and Paks sit 5th (14 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Paks9423191714
12Budapest Honved814312157

A question about Budapest Honved vs Paks?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Budapest Honved vs Paks?
The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Budapest Honved.
Where and when is Budapest Honved vs Paks played?
Budapest Honved vs Paks is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bozsik Aréna, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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